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Analisa Pasar Emas Tanggal 30 September 4 Oktober 2019

Maruli T Sinambela, S.E., M.Th., WPB, WPA by Maruli T Sinambela, S.E., M.Th., WPB, WPA
Oktober 12, 2019
in Market Analysis
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Analisa Pasar Emas Tanggal 30 September 4 Oktober 2019
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Pesanan barang Inti Tahan Lama (Core Durable goods orders) AS m / m naik 0,5% dibandingkan dengan perkiraan 0,2% sementara pesanan baru untuk barang modal utama buatan AS telah turun tajam sebesar 0,2%. Indeks inti PCE m / m berada di 0,2% dibandingkan dengan perkiraan 0,1%.

yield  Imbal hasil 10-tahun AS diperdagangkan flat setelah menurun lebih dari 2% dari tinggi 1,74%. Saat ini diperdagangkan di sekitar 1,697%. Penembusan di bawah 1,684% mengkonfirmasi kelemahan lebih lanjut.


Emas diperdagangkan lebih rendah di sesi AS setelah pemulihan kecil hingga $ 1496,75 setelah rilis pesanan barang tahan lama dan minggu lalu dari range 1486 – 1535 Dukungan intraday utama untuk diawasi – $ 1485 dan setiap terobosan di bawah ini menargetkan $ 1475 (EMA MA 55 hari) / $ 1469. Kelemahan utama hanya di bawah $ 1469.

Resistance – Logam kuning menghadapi resistensi intraday yang kuat di sekitar $ 1502 dan setiap penembusan di atas target $ 1512 / $ 1528. Isu Perkembangan impeachment presiden Trump serta perkembangan Brexit karena parlemen Inggris kembali aktif setelah pengadilan tinggi memutuskan penangguhan parlemen oleh PM Boris Johnson ilegal. Isu perang dagang akan jadi perhatian beberapa data ekonomi penting yang akan dirilis pekan ini:

  • Indeks Manufaktur ISM AS September (estimasi positif) – rilis Selasa
  • Data Non Farm Payrolls, unemploymentrate, average earnings September AS(estimasi relatif positif) – rilis Jumat
  • RBA Meeting (estimasi pangkas suku bunga 0.25% dari level saat ini 1.00%) – rilis Selasa.
  • Inflasi September Jerman &Eropa – masing-masing rilis Senin dan Selasa (estimasi relatif positif)
  • Indeks Manufaktur Caixin September China (estimasi relatif positif)
  • Indeks Manufaktur Tankan Q3 Jepang (estimasi negatif).
  • Penguatan dolar AS kini hadapi zona puncak double top masih terdukung oleh data ekonomi AS yang estimasinya relatif optimis.

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Maruli T Sinambela, S.E., M.Th., WPB, WPA

Maruli T Sinambela, S.E., M.Th., WPB, WPA

Maruli T. Sinambela is a writer, trading practitioner, and educator with experience in the financial markets since 2007. His expertise covers Forex, stock indices, commodities, and equities.Maruli T. Sinambela has demonstrated a strong leadership track record in the futures trading industry. He served as President Director of PT Indosukses Futures from 2020 to 2025, and in 2026, he was entrusted to lead PT Trident Pro Futures as President Director.He is actively engaged as an educator, speaker, and resource person across various media platforms—including television, radio, and digital channels—with a focus on market analysis and practical trading education.He has been involved as a member of the Education, Training, and Development Committee (DIKLATBANG) since 2021, and has served as a competency assessor and validator at the Professional Certification Institute (LSP) under the Badan Nasional Sertifikasi Profesi (BNSP) since June 2023.Drawing on extensive experience, Maruli emphasizes that successful trading is built on discipline, consistency, sound risk management, and the ability to separate logic from emotion. He also highlights the importance of safeguarding investment funds by ensuring that all trading activities are conducted through officially licensed and regulated institutions in Indonesia.

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